Steelers should dominate a COVID-19 depleted Ravens squad

Ravens (6-4) at Steelers (10-0)

3:40 p.m. ET | NBC

Matchup rating: 90.1 | Spread: PIT -10 (41.5)

What to watch for: The Ravens were able to run all over Pittsburgh earlier this month, and with the game delayed an extra day, the Ravens' run game will be back at almost full-strength with Mark Ingram and J.K. Dobbins expected to be removed from the reserve/COVID-19 list Wednesday. But without Lamar Jackson, who remains on the COVID-19 list, the Ravens' offense will undoubtedly look a little different. But the Steelers are plenty familiar with his replacement, Robert Griffin III as he was the last quarterback to beat the Steelers, dating all the way back to last year's season finale. Look for the Steelers to dial up the pressure and make him uncomfortable -- something that could be even more effective after an extended break for the Ravens. -- Brooke Pryor

Bold prediction: Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will throw four touchdown passes. Since 2013, he is 4-1 against the Ravens at Heinz Field, throwing 13 touchdowns and three interceptions (104.0 passer rating). And in Baltimore's four losses this season, the defense has given up 10 touchdown passes and recorded one interception. -- Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: The Steelers are the 14th team since the 16-game schedule was introduced (1978) to start with a 10-0 record, and only one of those teams finished with fewer than 13 wins (the 2015 Patriots went 12-4). Pittsburgh can clinch a playoff spot in Week 12 with a victory Thursday and losses by the Raiders and Dolphins on Sunday. It would match the earliest clinching since the playoffs expanded to 12 teams in 1990 (now 14 teams), but only one of the six teams that clinched a spot in Week 12 has gone on to win the Super Bowl (Washington in 1991).

Injuries: Ravens | Steelers

What to know for fantasy: Baltimore wide receiver Marquise Brown has seen his fantasy point total decline in each of his past five games. See Week 12 rankings.

Betting nugget: Pittsburgh is 8-2 ATS this season, the best mark in the NFL. Read more.

Hensley's pick: Steelers 24, Ravens 3

Pryor's pick: Steelers 30, Ravens 14

FPI prediction: PIT, 53.8% (by an average of 1.3 points)

Thanksgiving Day throwback: A 2013 matchup -- the only other such meeting between these teams on Thanksgiving -- ended with a failed game-tying 2-point conversion attempt for Pittsburgh, resulting in a 22-20 Ravens win. But the game is remembered for a 73-yard kickoff return. Baltimore returner Jacoby Jones sprinted up the left side and appeared destined to take it to the house, but he nearly ran into Steelers coach Mike Tomlin, who was very close to the field of play. Jones didn't score, and the drive ended with a field goal. Tomlin was fined $100,000 for the incident.

Matchup must-reads: Ravens reeling after a week of COVID-19 positive tests. ... Comeback player of year? Steelers' Roethlisberger also making push for first MVP ... A Thanksgiving trip: Revisiting Steelers-Ravens and Mike Tomlin's sideline sidestep in 2013 ... How good are the Steelers? Ranking Pittsburgh against other 10-0 teams